Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a Gemini 3.2 release on May 19, driven by mounting anticipation for Google I/O kicking off that day, where major large language model announcements have historically occurred. Early May sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs for select users fueled optimism, signaling Google's rapid iteration post-Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude updates. While no official confirmation exists, these developer breadcrumbs and I/O proximity have concentrated bets on May 19-20, with minor odds on adjacent dates; a last-minute delay remains possible given typical preview-to-general rollout timelines. Watch keynote reveals for resolution catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay 19 90%
May 20 3.4%
May 18 2.9%
May 22 1.7%
$218,270 ปริมาณ
$218,270 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 12
<1%
May 13
<1%
May 14
1%
May 15
<1%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
3%
May 19
90%
May 20
3%
May 21
1%
May 22
2%
May 23
1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
1%
May 26
1%
May 27
1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No release by May 31
2%
May 19 90%
May 20 3.4%
May 18 2.9%
May 22 1.7%
$218,270 ปริมาณ
$218,270 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 12
$7,784 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 13
$3,372 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 14
$3,770 ปริมาณ
1%
May 15
$6,948 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 16
$5,588 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 17
$6,787 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 18
$19,043 ปริมาณ
3%
May 19
$81,685 ปริมาณ
90%
May 20
$12,940 ปริมาณ
3%
May 21
$7,990 ปริมาณ
1%
May 22
$9,483 ปริมาณ
2%
May 23
$3,069 ปริมาณ
1%
May 24
$3,950 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 25
$2,132 ปริมาณ
1%
May 26
$2,792 ปริมาณ
1%
May 27
$2,335 ปริมาณ
1%
May 28
$2,014 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 29
$1,605 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 30
$3,689 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 31
$3,573 ปริมาณ
<1%
No release by May 31
$8,969 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a Gemini 3.2 release on May 19, driven by mounting anticipation for Google I/O kicking off that day, where major large language model announcements have historically occurred. Early May sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs for select users fueled optimism, signaling Google's rapid iteration post-Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude updates. While no official confirmation exists, these developer breadcrumbs and I/O proximity have concentrated bets on May 19-20, with minor odds on adjacent dates; a last-minute delay remains possible given typical preview-to-general rollout timelines. Watch keynote reveals for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$218,270วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a Gemini 3.2 release on May 19, driven by mounting anticipation for Google I/O kicking off that day, where major large language model announcements have historically occurred. Early May sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs for select users fueled optimism, signaling Google's rapid iteration post-Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude updates. While no official confirmation exists, these developer breadcrumbs and I/O proximity have concentrated bets on May 19-20, with minor odds on adjacent dates; a last-minute delay remains possible given typical preview-to-general rollout timelines. Watch keynote reveals for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$218,270วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a Gemini 3.2 release on May 19, driven by mounting anticipation for Google I/O kicking off that day, where major large language model announcements have historically occurred. Early May sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs for select users fueled optimism, signaling Google's rapid iteration post-Gemini 3.1 Pro's February preview amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude updates. While no official confirmation exists, these developer breadcrumbs and I/O proximity have concentrated bets on May 19-20, with minor odds on adjacent dates; a last-minute delay remains possible given typical preview-to-general rollout timelines. Watch keynote reveals for resolution catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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