Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—led by $7,000-$7,500 at 24.5% and >$8,000 at 23.5%—reflect competing forces on S&P 500 year-end positioning from current levels near 7,400. Stellar Q1 earnings beats, among the best in two decades with upward revisions to 2026 earnings-per-share growth forecasts, have spurred bullish analyst targets like HSBC's 7,650 and Yardeni Research's 8,250, fueled by AI-driven gains in megacaps. However, persistent inflation, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed funds rate held at 3.5%-3.75% with no 2026 cuts anticipated temper multiples expansion. Key swing factors include Q2 earnings momentum and June FOMC signals, with resolution hinging on whether growth outpaces policy headwinds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 32%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
<$6,000 17%
$7,500-$8,000 17%
$25,415 ปริมาณ
$25,415 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
17%
$6,000-$6,500
13%
$6,500-$7,000
17%
$7,000-$7,500
25%
$7,500-$8,000
24%
>$8,000
24%
>$8,000 32%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
<$6,000 17%
$7,500-$8,000 17%
$25,415 ปริมาณ
$25,415 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,576 ปริมาณ
17%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,479 ปริมาณ
13%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 ปริมาณ
17%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 ปริมาณ
25%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,554 ปริมาณ
24%
>$8,000
$2,303 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—led by $7,000-$7,500 at 24.5% and >$8,000 at 23.5%—reflect competing forces on S&P 500 year-end positioning from current levels near 7,400. Stellar Q1 earnings beats, among the best in two decades with upward revisions to 2026 earnings-per-share growth forecasts, have spurred bullish analyst targets like HSBC's 7,650 and Yardeni Research's 8,250, fueled by AI-driven gains in megacaps. However, persistent inflation, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed funds rate held at 3.5%-3.75% with no 2026 cuts anticipated temper multiples expansion. Key swing factors include Q2 earnings momentum and June FOMC signals, with resolution hinging on whether growth outpaces policy headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,415วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—led by $7,000-$7,500 at 24.5% and >$8,000 at 23.5%—reflect competing forces on S&P 500 year-end positioning from current levels near 7,400. Stellar Q1 earnings beats, among the best in two decades with upward revisions to 2026 earnings-per-share growth forecasts, have spurred bullish analyst targets like HSBC's 7,650 and Yardeni Research's 8,250, fueled by AI-driven gains in megacaps. However, persistent inflation, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed funds rate held at 3.5%-3.75% with no 2026 cuts anticipated temper multiples expansion. Key swing factors include Q2 earnings momentum and June FOMC signals, with resolution hinging on whether growth outpaces policy headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,415วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities—led by $7,000-$7,500 at 24.5% and >$8,000 at 23.5%—reflect competing forces on S&P 500 year-end positioning from current levels near 7,400. Stellar Q1 earnings beats, among the best in two decades with upward revisions to 2026 earnings-per-share growth forecasts, have spurred bullish analyst targets like HSBC's 7,650 and Yardeni Research's 8,250, fueled by AI-driven gains in megacaps. However, persistent inflation, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed funds rate held at 3.5%-3.75% with no 2026 cuts anticipated temper multiples expansion. Key swing factors include Q2 earnings momentum and June FOMC signals, with resolution hinging on whether growth outpaces policy headwinds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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