Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional financing for the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, a popular initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment easing rules on war material exports. The VAT decree and war material amendment, both backed by parliament, currently command the strongest trader support, reflecting broad institutional endorsement and lower signature thresholds for passage compared with popular initiatives. Fireworks and marriage-tax proposals require double majorities of voters and cantons, adding structural hurdles. Recent June and upcoming September referendums on immigration caps and neutrality have highlighted voter caution toward restrictive or rights-altering initiatives, while pension funding needs remain a recurring priority amid demographic pressures. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged in the past month to shift positioning ahead of the autumn vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVAT federal decree
65%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
21%
War Material amendment
54%
$7,606 ปริมาณ
VAT federal decree
65%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
21%
War Material amendment
54%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional financing for the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, a popular initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment easing rules on war material exports. The VAT decree and war material amendment, both backed by parliament, currently command the strongest trader support, reflecting broad institutional endorsement and lower signature thresholds for passage compared with popular initiatives. Fireworks and marriage-tax proposals require double majorities of voters and cantons, adding structural hurdles. Recent June and upcoming September referendums on immigration caps and neutrality have highlighted voter caution toward restrictive or rights-altering initiatives, while pension funding needs remain a recurring priority amid demographic pressures. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged in the past month to shift positioning ahead of the autumn vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย