President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a 10-member legal team to prepare a new “civilian” constitution, followed by roughly 20 meetings of the AKP-led parliamentary commission through late 2025, has kept constitutional reform on the agenda but produced only framework discussions. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 his expectation of adoption during 2026–2027 as a unifying social contract, yet no draft package has reached parliament, no cross-party consensus has formed, and no referendum has been called by mid-August 2026. Public surveys have shown majority opposition to amendments that could extend presidential eligibility past 2028, while the opposition CHP has resisted the process. These factors sustain trader consensus that an official referendum announcement remains unlikely before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว18% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
18% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a 10-member legal team to prepare a new “civilian” constitution, followed by roughly 20 meetings of the AKP-led parliamentary commission through late 2025, has kept constitutional reform on the agenda but produced only framework discussions. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 his expectation of adoption during 2026–2027 as a unifying social contract, yet no draft package has reached parliament, no cross-party consensus has formed, and no referendum has been called by mid-August 2026. Public surveys have shown majority opposition to amendments that could extend presidential eligibility past 2028, while the opposition CHP has resisted the process. These factors sustain trader consensus that an official referendum announcement remains unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,165วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a 10-member legal team to prepare a new “civilian” constitution, followed by roughly 20 meetings of the AKP-led parliamentary commission through late 2025, has kept constitutional reform on the agenda but produced only framework discussions. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 his expectation of adoption during 2026–2027 as a unifying social contract, yet no draft package has reached parliament, no cross-party consensus has formed, and no referendum has been called by mid-August 2026. Public surveys have shown majority opposition to amendments that could extend presidential eligibility past 2028, while the opposition CHP has resisted the process. These factors sustain trader consensus that an official referendum announcement remains unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,165วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a 10-member legal team to prepare a new “civilian” constitution, followed by roughly 20 meetings of the AKP-led parliamentary commission through late 2025, has kept constitutional reform on the agenda but produced only framework discussions. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 his expectation of adoption during 2026–2027 as a unifying social contract, yet no draft package has reached parliament, no cross-party consensus has formed, and no referendum has been called by mid-August 2026. Public surveys have shown majority opposition to amendments that could extend presidential eligibility past 2028, while the opposition CHP has resisted the process. These factors sustain trader consensus that an official referendum announcement remains unlikely before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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