Turkey’s ruling AKP and allies have advanced preparations for constitutional reform, including President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a ten-expert drafting commission and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s June 2026 statement projecting adoption in 2026–2027. However, calling a referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600, a threshold the government has not secured amid opposition resistance and focus on the scheduled 2028 presidential election. No formal announcement or legislative timeline for a 2026 vote has materialized as of mid-August, and broader political priorities such as economic management and coalition dynamics continue to take precedence. Traders therefore assign an 85% probability against an announcement occurring before year-end, reflecting the procedural and political hurdles still in place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว15% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
15% โอกาส
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ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AKP and allies have advanced preparations for constitutional reform, including President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a ten-expert drafting commission and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s June 2026 statement projecting adoption in 2026–2027. However, calling a referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600, a threshold the government has not secured amid opposition resistance and focus on the scheduled 2028 presidential election. No formal announcement or legislative timeline for a 2026 vote has materialized as of mid-August, and broader political priorities such as economic management and coalition dynamics continue to take precedence. Traders therefore assign an 85% probability against an announcement occurring before year-end, reflecting the procedural and political hurdles still in place.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,734วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AKP and allies have advanced preparations for constitutional reform, including President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a ten-expert drafting commission and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s June 2026 statement projecting adoption in 2026–2027. However, calling a referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600, a threshold the government has not secured amid opposition resistance and focus on the scheduled 2028 presidential election. No formal announcement or legislative timeline for a 2026 vote has materialized as of mid-August, and broader political priorities such as economic management and coalition dynamics continue to take precedence. Traders therefore assign an 85% probability against an announcement occurring before year-end, reflecting the procedural and political hurdles still in place.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,734วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s ruling AKP and allies have advanced preparations for constitutional reform, including President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of a ten-expert drafting commission and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş’s June 2026 statement projecting adoption in 2026–2027. However, calling a referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600, a threshold the government has not secured amid opposition resistance and focus on the scheduled 2028 presidential election. No formal announcement or legislative timeline for a 2026 vote has materialized as of mid-August, and broader political priorities such as economic management and coalition dynamics continue to take precedence. Traders therefore assign an 85% probability against an announcement occurring before year-end, reflecting the procedural and political hurdles still in place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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