Rapid model releases and leaderboard volatility on Code Arena WebDev, where community Elo ratings evaluate agentic frontend coding tasks, underpin the tight 35–50% implied probabilities across labs. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra seized the top spot in early September 2026 with a 1,797 score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, while open-weight models from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Z.ai (GLM-5), and Alibaba (Qwen) have narrowed gaps to roughly 11–150 Elo points through faster iteration and lower costs. Chinese labs’ gains in multi-file React workflows and tool use create a crowded middle tier, with Meta’s Muse Code agent and Google Gemini updates adding further contention. Continued releases before November resolution keep third-place positioning fluid as agentic capabilities and pricing shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMoonshot 36%
Anthropic 36%
SpaceXAI 36%
Meta 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
36%
Anthropic
36%
SpaceXAI
36%
Meta
36%
Poolside
35%
Mistral
35%
27%
Xiaomi
27%
Tencent
27%
Thinky
26%
DeepSeek
26%
Z.ai
17%
ByteDance
14%
Alibaba
14%
MiniMax
14%
OpenAI
14%
Moonshot 36%
Anthropic 36%
SpaceXAI 36%
Meta 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Anthropic
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
Poolside
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
Mistral
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Xiaomi
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Tencent
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Thinky
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
DeepSeek
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Z.ai
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
ByteDance
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Alibaba
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Rapid model releases and leaderboard volatility on Code Arena WebDev, where community Elo ratings evaluate agentic frontend coding tasks, underpin the tight 35–50% implied probabilities across labs. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra seized the top spot in early September 2026 with a 1,797 score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, while open-weight models from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Z.ai (GLM-5), and Alibaba (Qwen) have narrowed gaps to roughly 11–150 Elo points through faster iteration and lower costs. Chinese labs’ gains in multi-file React workflows and tool use create a crowded middle tier, with Meta’s Muse Code agent and Google Gemini updates adding further contention. Continued releases before November resolution keep third-place positioning fluid as agentic capabilities and pricing shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Rapid model releases and leaderboard volatility on Code Arena WebDev, where community Elo ratings evaluate agentic frontend coding tasks, underpin the tight 35–50% implied probabilities across labs. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra seized the top spot in early September 2026 with a 1,797 score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, while open-weight models from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Z.ai (GLM-5), and Alibaba (Qwen) have narrowed gaps to roughly 11–150 Elo points through faster iteration and lower costs. Chinese labs’ gains in multi-file React workflows and tool use create a crowded middle tier, with Meta’s Muse Code agent and Google Gemini updates adding further contention. Continued releases before November resolution keep third-place positioning fluid as agentic capabilities and pricing shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Rapid model releases and leaderboard volatility on Code Arena WebDev, where community Elo ratings evaluate agentic frontend coding tasks, underpin the tight 35–50% implied probabilities across labs. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra seized the top spot in early September 2026 with a 1,797 score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, while open-weight models from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Z.ai (GLM-5), and Alibaba (Qwen) have narrowed gaps to roughly 11–150 Elo points through faster iteration and lower costs. Chinese labs’ gains in multi-file React workflows and tool use create a crowded middle tier, with Meta’s Muse Code agent and Google Gemini updates adding further contention. Continued releases before November resolution keep third-place positioning fluid as agentic capabilities and pricing shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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