The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over 2025 bribery convictions, which also bars him from running. Nine independents registered after nominations closed in early September, including Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Lei Paasi, 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, and others from key villages. 'Uhilamoelangi Fasi, who successfully petitioned the seat vacant, chose not to contest, while several withdrawals consolidated behind one contender. This crowded field, combined with localized voter bases and no dominant frontrunner, sustains closely matched trader prices reflecting split support and the first-past-the-post dynamics in the small constituency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLei Paasi 28%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%
Samiuela Vea 26%
Mounu Uaisele 25%
Lei Paasi
28%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
27%
Samiuela Vea
26%
Mounu Uaisele
25%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
24%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
24%
Alvin Lafu Sika
22%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
22%
'Olioni Manoa
19%
Lei Paasi 28%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%
Samiuela Vea 26%
Mounu Uaisele 25%
Lei Paasi
28%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
27%
Samiuela Vea
26%
Mounu Uaisele
25%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
24%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
24%
Alvin Lafu Sika
22%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
22%
'Olioni Manoa
19%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over 2025 bribery convictions, which also bars him from running. Nine independents registered after nominations closed in early September, including Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Lei Paasi, 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, and others from key villages. 'Uhilamoelangi Fasi, who successfully petitioned the seat vacant, chose not to contest, while several withdrawals consolidated behind one contender. This crowded field, combined with localized voter bases and no dominant frontrunner, sustains closely matched trader prices reflecting split support and the first-past-the-post dynamics in the small constituency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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