Trader consensus heavily favors a Trump approval rating of 38.5–38.9% for May 15, mirroring Nate Silver's May 13 polling average implying roughly 38% approval amid a net rating of -18.9, a second-term low. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the president's handling of the ongoing Iran war, where Marist Poll on May 6 showed 60% disapproval, up from prior months, coupled with 61% economic disapproval as gas prices hit $4.48 per gallon and inflation handling nets -44 in Economist tracking through May 6. Even Republican strong approval has softened to 45%, per recent surveys, while independents drive the downward trend ahead of November midterms, with Democrats leading generic ballots +10. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, but daily trackers suggest stability near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 71%
38.0–38.4 18.6%
39.0–39.4 3.6%
39.5–39.9 2.0%
$17,184 ปริมาณ
$17,184 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
19%
38.5–38.9
69%
39.0–39.4
4%
39.5–39.9
2%
40.0+
1%
38.5–38.9 71%
38.0–38.4 18.6%
39.0–39.4 3.6%
39.5–39.9 2.0%
$17,184 ปริมาณ
$17,184 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$2,654 ปริมาณ
1%
38.0–38.4
$3,575 ปริมาณ
19%
38.5–38.9
$4,243 ปริมาณ
69%
39.0–39.4
$3,172 ปริมาณ
4%
39.5–39.9
$2,247 ปริมาณ
2%
40.0+
$1,294 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus heavily favors a Trump approval rating of 38.5–38.9% for May 15, mirroring Nate Silver's May 13 polling average implying roughly 38% approval amid a net rating of -18.9, a second-term low. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the president's handling of the ongoing Iran war, where Marist Poll on May 6 showed 60% disapproval, up from prior months, coupled with 61% economic disapproval as gas prices hit $4.48 per gallon and inflation handling nets -44 in Economist tracking through May 6. Even Republican strong approval has softened to 45%, per recent surveys, while independents drive the downward trend ahead of November midterms, with Democrats leading generic ballots +10. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, but daily trackers suggest stability near current levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,184วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus heavily favors a Trump approval rating of 38.5–38.9% for May 15, mirroring Nate Silver's May 13 polling average implying roughly 38% approval amid a net rating of -18.9, a second-term low. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the president's handling of the ongoing Iran war, where Marist Poll on May 6 showed 60% disapproval, up from prior months, coupled with 61% economic disapproval as gas prices hit $4.48 per gallon and inflation handling nets -44 in Economist tracking through May 6. Even Republican strong approval has softened to 45%, per recent surveys, while independents drive the downward trend ahead of November midterms, with Democrats leading generic ballots +10. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, but daily trackers suggest stability near current levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,184วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Trump approval rating of 38.5–38.9% for May 15, mirroring Nate Silver's May 13 polling average implying roughly 38% approval amid a net rating of -18.9, a second-term low. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the president's handling of the ongoing Iran war, where Marist Poll on May 6 showed 60% disapproval, up from prior months, coupled with 61% economic disapproval as gas prices hit $4.48 per gallon and inflation handling nets -44 in Economist tracking through May 6. Even Republican strong approval has softened to 45%, per recent surveys, while independents drive the downward trend ahead of November midterms, with Democrats leading generic ballots +10. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, but daily trackers suggest stability near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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