President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling AKP has advanced preliminary work through an internal constitutional commission that has held multiple meetings and is preparing proposals for a civilian charter to replace the 1982 document. Recent statements from Erdoğan and party officials in May 2026 have reiterated the effort as a priority for removing coup-era provisions. However, any new constitution would require either a two-thirds parliamentary majority or a successful referendum, both of which face significant hurdles given opposition parties' reluctance and the absence of a broad cross-party agreement. These structural and political constraints explain why traders assign a high probability against meaningful progress occurring before the end of 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling AKP has advanced preliminary work through an internal constitutional commission that has held multiple meetings and is preparing proposals for a civilian charter to replace the 1982 document. Recent statements from Erdoğan and party officials in May 2026 have reiterated the effort as a priority for removing coup-era provisions. However, any new constitution would require either a two-thirds parliamentary majority or a successful referendum, both of which face significant hurdles given opposition parties' reluctance and the absence of a broad cross-party agreement. These structural and political constraints explain why traders assign a high probability against meaningful progress occurring before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,631วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling AKP has advanced preliminary work through an internal constitutional commission that has held multiple meetings and is preparing proposals for a civilian charter to replace the 1982 document. Recent statements from Erdoğan and party officials in May 2026 have reiterated the effort as a priority for removing coup-era provisions. However, any new constitution would require either a two-thirds parliamentary majority or a successful referendum, both of which face significant hurdles given opposition parties' reluctance and the absence of a broad cross-party agreement. These structural and political constraints explain why traders assign a high probability against meaningful progress occurring before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,631วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling AKP has advanced preliminary work through an internal constitutional commission that has held multiple meetings and is preparing proposals for a civilian charter to replace the 1982 document. Recent statements from Erdoğan and party officials in May 2026 have reiterated the effort as a priority for removing coup-era provisions. However, any new constitution would require either a two-thirds parliamentary majority or a successful referendum, both of which face significant hurdles given opposition parties' reluctance and the absence of a broad cross-party agreement. These structural and political constraints explain why traders assign a high probability against meaningful progress occurring before the end of 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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