President Erdoğan's 2025 appointment of a legal drafting commission and ongoing AKP internal work have sustained ruling-party statements about a "civilian" constitution, including Parliament Speaker Kurtulmuş's June 2026 projection for adoption in 2026–2027. However, as of mid-August 2026 no finalized draft has reached the floor of the 600-seat parliament, opposition parties remain outside negotiations, and the AKP's 321 seats fall short of the 360-vote threshold required to trigger a referendum. These procedural and coalition-building hurdles, combined with the limited time remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin traders' strong consensus that an official referendum announcement is unlikely this year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว16% โอกาส
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ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
16% โอกาส
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ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdoğan's 2025 appointment of a legal drafting commission and ongoing AKP internal work have sustained ruling-party statements about a "civilian" constitution, including Parliament Speaker Kurtulmuş's June 2026 projection for adoption in 2026–2027. However, as of mid-August 2026 no finalized draft has reached the floor of the 600-seat parliament, opposition parties remain outside negotiations, and the AKP's 321 seats fall short of the 360-vote threshold required to trigger a referendum. These procedural and coalition-building hurdles, combined with the limited time remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin traders' strong consensus that an official referendum announcement is unlikely this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,832วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdoğan's 2025 appointment of a legal drafting commission and ongoing AKP internal work have sustained ruling-party statements about a "civilian" constitution, including Parliament Speaker Kurtulmuş's June 2026 projection for adoption in 2026–2027. However, as of mid-August 2026 no finalized draft has reached the floor of the 600-seat parliament, opposition parties remain outside negotiations, and the AKP's 321 seats fall short of the 360-vote threshold required to trigger a referendum. These procedural and coalition-building hurdles, combined with the limited time remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin traders' strong consensus that an official referendum announcement is unlikely this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,832วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Erdoğan's 2025 appointment of a legal drafting commission and ongoing AKP internal work have sustained ruling-party statements about a "civilian" constitution, including Parliament Speaker Kurtulmuş's June 2026 projection for adoption in 2026–2027. However, as of mid-August 2026 no finalized draft has reached the floor of the 600-seat parliament, opposition parties remain outside negotiations, and the AKP's 321 seats fall short of the 360-vote threshold required to trigger a referendum. These procedural and coalition-building hurdles, combined with the limited time remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin traders' strong consensus that an official referendum announcement is unlikely this year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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