Trader consensus prices a U.S.-China tariff agreement by May 31 at 57% yes following President Trump's May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, where China committed to double-digit billions in U.S. agricultural, oil, and Boeing purchases while both sides announced a new bilateral Board of Trade to oversee tariff reductions on $30 billion in goods. These tangible steps build on a prior 90-day truce and a 32% drop in the U.S.-China trade deficit last year, despite a February Supreme Court ruling limiting some tariffs. USTR officials describe relations as stable, with de-escalation pressures ahead of U.S. midterms, though low expectations for a comprehensive deal temper full optimism pending final negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$50,114 ปริมาณ
$50,114 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$50,114 ปริมาณ
$50,114 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices a U.S.-China tariff agreement by May 31 at 57% yes following President Trump's May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, where China committed to double-digit billions in U.S. agricultural, oil, and Boeing purchases while both sides announced a new bilateral Board of Trade to oversee tariff reductions on $30 billion in goods. These tangible steps build on a prior 90-day truce and a 32% drop in the U.S.-China trade deficit last year, despite a February Supreme Court ruling limiting some tariffs. USTR officials describe relations as stable, with de-escalation pressures ahead of U.S. midterms, though low expectations for a comprehensive deal temper full optimism pending final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,114วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices a U.S.-China tariff agreement by May 31 at 57% yes following President Trump's May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, where China committed to double-digit billions in U.S. agricultural, oil, and Boeing purchases while both sides announced a new bilateral Board of Trade to oversee tariff reductions on $30 billion in goods. These tangible steps build on a prior 90-day truce and a 32% drop in the U.S.-China trade deficit last year, despite a February Supreme Court ruling limiting some tariffs. USTR officials describe relations as stable, with de-escalation pressures ahead of U.S. midterms, though low expectations for a comprehensive deal temper full optimism pending final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,132วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S.-China tariff agreement by May 31 at 57% yes following President Trump's May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, where China committed to double-digit billions in U.S. agricultural, oil, and Boeing purchases while both sides announced a new bilateral Board of Trade to oversee tariff reductions on $30 billion in goods. These tangible steps build on a prior 90-day truce and a 32% drop in the U.S.-China trade deficit last year, despite a February Supreme Court ruling limiting some tariffs. USTR officials describe relations as stable, with de-escalation pressures ahead of U.S. midterms, though low expectations for a comprehensive deal temper full optimism pending final negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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