President Donald Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, 2026, features bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and rare earths, following advance U.S. military logistics arrivals and Trump's own touchdown earlier this week. Official itineraries confirm his departure on May 15 after a final working lunch and tea with Xi, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability on that date as the wisdom of crowds prices in the fixed schedule amid smooth proceedings so far. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diplomatic breakthroughs necessitating extensions, personal health incidents, severe weather disrupting Air Force One, or last-minute security escalations, though historical precedent for such high-stakes summits shows rare overruns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 99.4%
May 16 <1%
May 18 <1%
May 17 <1%
$121,149 ปริมาณ
$121,149 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
May 14
<1%
May 15
99%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
After May 18
<1%
May 15 99.4%
May 16 <1%
May 18 <1%
May 17 <1%
$121,149 ปริมาณ
$121,149 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
May 14
$33,542 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 15
$29,311 ปริมาณ
99%
May 16
$23,921 ปริมาณ
1%
May 17
$8,104 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 18
$2,524 ปริมาณ
<1%
After May 18
$5,755 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, 2026, features bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and rare earths, following advance U.S. military logistics arrivals and Trump's own touchdown earlier this week. Official itineraries confirm his departure on May 15 after a final working lunch and tea with Xi, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability on that date as the wisdom of crowds prices in the fixed schedule amid smooth proceedings so far. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diplomatic breakthroughs necessitating extensions, personal health incidents, severe weather disrupting Air Force One, or last-minute security escalations, though historical precedent for such high-stakes summits shows rare overruns.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,149วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, 2026, features bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and rare earths, following advance U.S. military logistics arrivals and Trump's own touchdown earlier this week. Official itineraries confirm his departure on May 15 after a final working lunch and tea with Xi, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability on that date as the wisdom of crowds prices in the fixed schedule amid smooth proceedings so far. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diplomatic breakthroughs necessitating extensions, personal health incidents, severe weather disrupting Air Force One, or last-minute security escalations, though historical precedent for such high-stakes summits shows rare overruns.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,149วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, 2026, features bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and rare earths, following advance U.S. military logistics arrivals and Trump's own touchdown earlier this week. Official itineraries confirm his departure on May 15 after a final working lunch and tea with Xi, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability on that date as the wisdom of crowds prices in the fixed schedule amid smooth proceedings so far. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diplomatic breakthroughs necessitating extensions, personal health incidents, severe weather disrupting Air Force One, or last-minute security escalations, though historical precedent for such high-stakes summits shows rare overruns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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