President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.1%
$271,785 ปริมาณ
$271,785 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
3%
<2s
1%
2–6s
7%
6–10s
16%
10–15s
21%
15s+
56%
Photographed only
2%
15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.1%
$271,785 ปริมาณ
$271,785 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,823 ปริมาณ
3%
<2s
$41,728 ปริมาณ
1%
2–6s
$42,542 ปริมาณ
7%
6–10s
$20,644 ปริมาณ
16%
10–15s
$20,795 ปริมาณ
21%
15s+
$49,888 ปริมาณ
56%
Photographed only
$42,092 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,785วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,785วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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