US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, prompting the Supreme Tribunal of Justice to install Delcy Rodríguez as acting president on an interim basis while treating his absence as temporary. Venezuelan state institutions, the National Assembly, and military leadership continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional president whose current term extends past year-end, sustaining trader consensus around his continued official status. No presidential election date has been set despite opposition calls, and institutional reforms remain limited to personnel shifts and eased sanctions without dismantling core power structures. This slow pace of change, combined with ongoing US engagement focused on economic stabilization rather than immediate electoral transition, positions Rodríguez as the next most likely outcome while keeping other figures like María Corina Machado at low probabilities pending a formal vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 64.1%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 7%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ 1.1%
$88,270,989 ปริมาณ
$88,270,989 ปริมาณ
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
64%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
7%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
1%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 64.1%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 7%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ 1.1%
$88,270,989 ปริมาณ
$88,270,989 ปริมาณ
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
64%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
7%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
1%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, prompting the Supreme Tribunal of Justice to install Delcy Rodríguez as acting president on an interim basis while treating his absence as temporary. Venezuelan state institutions, the National Assembly, and military leadership continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional president whose current term extends past year-end, sustaining trader consensus around his continued official status. No presidential election date has been set despite opposition calls, and institutional reforms remain limited to personnel shifts and eased sanctions without dismantling core power structures. This slow pace of change, combined with ongoing US engagement focused on economic stabilization rather than immediate electoral transition, positions Rodríguez as the next most likely outcome while keeping other figures like María Corina Machado at low probabilities pending a formal vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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