The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will be in the UK Budget?
What will be in the UK Budget?
ใหม่
Oct 28, 2026
CGT increase
55%
Fuel duty increase
46%
Wealth tax
20%
Land value tax
20%
$666 ปริมาณ
CGT increase
$446 ปริมาณ
55%
Fuel duty increase
$155 ปริมาณ
46%
Wealth tax
$35 ปริมาณ
20%
Land value tax
$30 ปริมาณ
20%
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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