Republican control of Congress enabled swift passage of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended Tax Cuts and Jobs Act rates and brackets but preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent long-term capital gains structure without rate reductions. Legislative focus shifted to other priorities such as SALT deduction expansion and family provisions, while fiscal concerns over deficits and competing spending measures have slowed additional tax reform efforts. Proposals for inflation indexing of gains remain under discussion through regulatory or reconciliation channels yet face procedural hurdles and lack confirmed timelines before 2027. Trader consensus at 64.5 percent for no cut reflects this legislative record and the narrow window remaining for major changes in the current session.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican control of Congress enabled swift passage of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended Tax Cuts and Jobs Act rates and brackets but preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent long-term capital gains structure without rate reductions. Legislative focus shifted to other priorities such as SALT deduction expansion and family provisions, while fiscal concerns over deficits and competing spending measures have slowed additional tax reform efforts. Proposals for inflation indexing of gains remain under discussion through regulatory or reconciliation channels yet face procedural hurdles and lack confirmed timelines before 2027. Trader consensus at 64.5 percent for no cut reflects this legislative record and the narrow window remaining for major changes in the current session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,576วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican control of Congress enabled swift passage of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended Tax Cuts and Jobs Act rates and brackets but preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent long-term capital gains structure without rate reductions. Legislative focus shifted to other priorities such as SALT deduction expansion and family provisions, while fiscal concerns over deficits and competing spending measures have slowed additional tax reform efforts. Proposals for inflation indexing of gains remain under discussion through regulatory or reconciliation channels yet face procedural hurdles and lack confirmed timelines before 2027. Trader consensus at 64.5 percent for no cut reflects this legislative record and the narrow window remaining for major changes in the current session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,576วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of Congress enabled swift passage of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which permanently extended Tax Cuts and Jobs Act rates and brackets but preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent long-term capital gains structure without rate reductions. Legislative focus shifted to other priorities such as SALT deduction expansion and family provisions, while fiscal concerns over deficits and competing spending measures have slowed additional tax reform efforts. Proposals for inflation indexing of gains remain under discussion through regulatory or reconciliation channels yet face procedural hurdles and lack confirmed timelines before 2027. Trader consensus at 64.5 percent for no cut reflects this legislative record and the narrow window remaining for major changes in the current session.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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