Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework to finalize terms including Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief. Conflicting statements from President Trump asserting ongoing talks and Iranian officials denying direct negotiations with Washington have created uncertainty, while mediators including Pakistan and Oman facilitate indirect channels. Recent technical discussions have focused on maritime access and implementation mechanisms, yet renewed tensions over shipping routes and compliance have delayed progress. Any resumption of formal rounds before the August 31 cutoff would likely involve high-level U.S. and Iranian representatives or designated envoys, potentially influenced by third-party diplomatic pressure or shifts in Hormuz-related demands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
$90,878 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
26%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Jared Kushner
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 ปริมาณ
Nick Stewart
$36 ปริมาณ
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 ปริมาณ
26%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 ปริมาณ
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 ปริมาณ
10%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 ปริมาณ
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 ปริมาณ
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 ปริมาณ
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 ปริมาณ
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 ปริมาณ
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 ปริมาณ
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,194 ปริมาณ
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 ปริมาณ
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 ปริมาณ
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 ปริมาณ
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 ปริมาณ
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 ปริมาณ
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 ปริมาณ
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 ปริมาณ
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework to finalize terms including Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief. Conflicting statements from President Trump asserting ongoing talks and Iranian officials denying direct negotiations with Washington have created uncertainty, while mediators including Pakistan and Oman facilitate indirect channels. Recent technical discussions have focused on maritime access and implementation mechanisms, yet renewed tensions over shipping routes and compliance have delayed progress. Any resumption of formal rounds before the August 31 cutoff would likely involve high-level U.S. and Iranian representatives or designated envoys, potentially influenced by third-party diplomatic pressure or shifts in Hormuz-related demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,878วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework to finalize terms including Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief. Conflicting statements from President Trump asserting ongoing talks and Iranian officials denying direct negotiations with Washington have created uncertainty, while mediators including Pakistan and Oman facilitate indirect channels. Recent technical discussions have focused on maritime access and implementation mechanisms, yet renewed tensions over shipping routes and compliance have delayed progress. Any resumption of formal rounds before the August 31 cutoff would likely involve high-level U.S. and Iranian representatives or designated envoys, potentially influenced by third-party diplomatic pressure or shifts in Hormuz-related demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,878วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework to finalize terms including Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief. Conflicting statements from President Trump asserting ongoing talks and Iranian officials denying direct negotiations with Washington have created uncertainty, while mediators including Pakistan and Oman facilitate indirect channels. Recent technical discussions have focused on maritime access and implementation mechanisms, yet renewed tensions over shipping routes and compliance have delayed progress. Any resumption of formal rounds before the August 31 cutoff would likely involve high-level U.S. and Iranian representatives or designated envoys, potentially influenced by third-party diplomatic pressure or shifts in Hormuz-related demands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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