Official National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlooks as of August 7–8, 2026, indicate no tropical cyclones are present in the Eastern North Pacific (east of 140°W) or Central Pacific (140°W–180°), with formation not expected over the next seven days. Environmental conditions currently lack the organized disturbances, sufficient moisture, or favorable steering patterns needed for rapid development, aligning with the market-implied 70.5% probability for no formation by August 14. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal activity for the broader Central Pacific basin, yet the immediate window remains quiet based on latest model consensus and observational data. Traders weigh this near-term stability against the potential for quick shifts if a new wave emerges or conditions change ahead of the mid-August climatological uptick.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill a tropical cyclone form in either the Pacific or Central Pacific basins by August 14?
Will a tropical cyclone form in either the Pacific or Central Pacific basins by August 14?
41% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
41% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.Official National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlooks as of August 7–8, 2026, indicate no tropical cyclones are present in the Eastern North Pacific (east of 140°W) or Central Pacific (140°W–180°), with formation not expected over the next seven days. Environmental conditions currently lack the organized disturbances, sufficient moisture, or favorable steering patterns needed for rapid development, aligning with the market-implied 70.5% probability for no formation by August 14. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal activity for the broader Central Pacific basin, yet the immediate window remains quiet based on latest model consensus and observational data. Traders weigh this near-term stability against the potential for quick shifts if a new wave emerges or conditions change ahead of the mid-August climatological uptick.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$520วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.Official National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlooks as of August 7–8, 2026, indicate no tropical cyclones are present in the Eastern North Pacific (east of 140°W) or Central Pacific (140°W–180°), with formation not expected over the next seven days. Environmental conditions currently lack the organized disturbances, sufficient moisture, or favorable steering patterns needed for rapid development, aligning with the market-implied 70.5% probability for no formation by August 14. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal activity for the broader Central Pacific basin, yet the immediate window remains quiet based on latest model consensus and observational data. Traders weigh this near-term stability against the potential for quick shifts if a new wave emerges or conditions change ahead of the mid-August climatological uptick.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$520วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlooks as of August 7–8, 2026, indicate no tropical cyclones are present in the Eastern North Pacific (east of 140°W) or Central Pacific (140°W–180°), with formation not expected over the next seven days. Environmental conditions currently lack the organized disturbances, sufficient moisture, or favorable steering patterns needed for rapid development, aligning with the market-implied 70.5% probability for no formation by August 14. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal activity for the broader Central Pacific basin, yet the immediate window remains quiet based on latest model consensus and observational data. Traders weigh this near-term stability against the potential for quick shifts if a new wave emerges or conditions change ahead of the mid-August climatological uptick.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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