Rapid progress in agentic coding and frequent frontier releases are driving trader consensus around the Coding Arena threshold. As of mid-August 2026, GPT-5.6 Sol leads multiple leaderboards with top SWE-Bench Verified scores above 96 percent and strong blind human voting results, closely followed by Claude Fable 5, Claude Opus 5 variants, and open-weight contenders like Kimi K3 (Moonshot) and GLM-5.3 that have claimed arena leads in frontend and general coding tasks. Recent August launches from DeepSeek, Qwen, Gemini 3.7 Flash, and Grok 4.6 underscore the pace of iteration, with labs emphasizing multi-file refactoring, repo navigation, and higher live-arena Elo. Key swing factors through year-end include additional model drops, benchmark saturation trends, and any major capability jumps in agentic workflows that could push the highest Coding Arena scores past the resolution line.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$185,222 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
1560
44%
1580
24%
1600
11%
$185,222 ปริมาณ
1560
$88,748 ปริมาณ
44%
1580
$63,484 ปริมาณ
24%
1600
$32,990 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Rapid progress in agentic coding and frequent frontier releases are driving trader consensus around the Coding Arena threshold. As of mid-August 2026, GPT-5.6 Sol leads multiple leaderboards with top SWE-Bench Verified scores above 96 percent and strong blind human voting results, closely followed by Claude Fable 5, Claude Opus 5 variants, and open-weight contenders like Kimi K3 (Moonshot) and GLM-5.3 that have claimed arena leads in frontend and general coding tasks. Recent August launches from DeepSeek, Qwen, Gemini 3.7 Flash, and Grok 4.6 underscore the pace of iteration, with labs emphasizing multi-file refactoring, repo navigation, and higher live-arena Elo. Key swing factors through year-end include additional model drops, benchmark saturation trends, and any major capability jumps in agentic workflows that could push the highest Coding Arena scores past the resolution line.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,222วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Rapid progress in agentic coding and frequent frontier releases are driving trader consensus around the Coding Arena threshold. As of mid-August 2026, GPT-5.6 Sol leads multiple leaderboards with top SWE-Bench Verified scores above 96 percent and strong blind human voting results, closely followed by Claude Fable 5, Claude Opus 5 variants, and open-weight contenders like Kimi K3 (Moonshot) and GLM-5.3 that have claimed arena leads in frontend and general coding tasks. Recent August launches from DeepSeek, Qwen, Gemini 3.7 Flash, and Grok 4.6 underscore the pace of iteration, with labs emphasizing multi-file refactoring, repo navigation, and higher live-arena Elo. Key swing factors through year-end include additional model drops, benchmark saturation trends, and any major capability jumps in agentic workflows that could push the highest Coding Arena scores past the resolution line.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,222วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rapid progress in agentic coding and frequent frontier releases are driving trader consensus around the Coding Arena threshold. As of mid-August 2026, GPT-5.6 Sol leads multiple leaderboards with top SWE-Bench Verified scores above 96 percent and strong blind human voting results, closely followed by Claude Fable 5, Claude Opus 5 variants, and open-weight contenders like Kimi K3 (Moonshot) and GLM-5.3 that have claimed arena leads in frontend and general coding tasks. Recent August launches from DeepSeek, Qwen, Gemini 3.7 Flash, and Grok 4.6 underscore the pace of iteration, with labs emphasizing multi-file refactoring, repo navigation, and higher live-arena Elo. Key swing factors through year-end include additional model drops, benchmark saturation trends, and any major capability jumps in agentic workflows that could push the highest Coding Arena scores past the resolution line.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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