The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of May 14 per Freddie Mac data, remains stable amid persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March—prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, currently at 4.46%, plus a roughly 190-basis-point spread influenced by prepayment risk and supply dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on further declines, pricing modest easing to 5.7%-6.3% by year-end per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts if inflation moderates, but sticky data could sustain levels above 6%. Key catalysts include May CPI on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could shift rate expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$49,755 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
38%
↑ 6.75%
45%
↑ 6.50%
76%
↓ 5.90%
49%
↓ 5.70%
44%
↓ 5.50%
49%
$49,755 ปริมาณ
↑ 7.00%
$26 ปริมาณ
38%
↑ 6.75%
$118 ปริมาณ
45%
↑ 6.50%
$6,700 ปริมาณ
76%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 ปริมาณ
49%
↓ 5.70%
$6,769 ปริมาณ
44%
↓ 5.50%
$25 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of May 14 per Freddie Mac data, remains stable amid persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March—prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, currently at 4.46%, plus a roughly 190-basis-point spread influenced by prepayment risk and supply dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on further declines, pricing modest easing to 5.7%-6.3% by year-end per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts if inflation moderates, but sticky data could sustain levels above 6%. Key catalysts include May CPI on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could shift rate expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,755วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of May 14 per Freddie Mac data, remains stable amid persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March—prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, currently at 4.46%, plus a roughly 190-basis-point spread influenced by prepayment risk and supply dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on further declines, pricing modest easing to 5.7%-6.3% by year-end per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts if inflation moderates, but sticky data could sustain levels above 6%. Key catalysts include May CPI on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could shift rate expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,755วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year fixed mortgage rate, averaging 6.36% as of May 14 per Freddie Mac data, remains stable amid persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March—prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, currently at 4.46%, plus a roughly 190-basis-point spread influenced by prepayment risk and supply dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on further declines, pricing modest easing to 5.7%-6.3% by year-end per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts if inflation moderates, but sticky data could sustain levels above 6%. Key catalysts include May CPI on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could shift rate expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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