Mortgage rates have hovered in the 6.3% to 6.5% range through mid-May 2026 after averaging 6.18% in the first two months of the year, driven primarily by persistent inflation readings above 3% and elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on policy easing, combined with stronger-than-expected labor market data, has kept longer-term borrowing costs anchored higher than many analysts projected at the start of 2026. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to a full-year average near 6.2%, with potential dips toward 5.7% if core CPI moderates and the central bank signals additional rate cuts at upcoming FOMC meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and June policy decision, which could shift trader expectations for whether rates test lower thresholds before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$49,755 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
43%
↑ 6.75%
54%
↑ 6.50%
75%
↓ 5.90%
45%
↓ 5.70%
46%
↓ 5.50%
49%
$49,755 ปริมาณ
↑ 7.00%
$26 ปริมาณ
43%
↑ 6.75%
$118 ปริมาณ
54%
↑ 6.50%
$6,700 ปริมาณ
75%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 ปริมาณ
45%
↓ 5.70%
$6,769 ปริมาณ
46%
↓ 5.50%
$25 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates have hovered in the 6.3% to 6.5% range through mid-May 2026 after averaging 6.18% in the first two months of the year, driven primarily by persistent inflation readings above 3% and elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on policy easing, combined with stronger-than-expected labor market data, has kept longer-term borrowing costs anchored higher than many analysts projected at the start of 2026. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to a full-year average near 6.2%, with potential dips toward 5.7% if core CPI moderates and the central bank signals additional rate cuts at upcoming FOMC meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and June policy decision, which could shift trader expectations for whether rates test lower thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,755วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates have hovered in the 6.3% to 6.5% range through mid-May 2026 after averaging 6.18% in the first two months of the year, driven primarily by persistent inflation readings above 3% and elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on policy easing, combined with stronger-than-expected labor market data, has kept longer-term borrowing costs anchored higher than many analysts projected at the start of 2026. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to a full-year average near 6.2%, with potential dips toward 5.7% if core CPI moderates and the central bank signals additional rate cuts at upcoming FOMC meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and June policy decision, which could shift trader expectations for whether rates test lower thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,755วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates have hovered in the 6.3% to 6.5% range through mid-May 2026 after averaging 6.18% in the first two months of the year, driven primarily by persistent inflation readings above 3% and elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on policy easing, combined with stronger-than-expected labor market data, has kept longer-term borrowing costs anchored higher than many analysts projected at the start of 2026. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to a full-year average near 6.2%, with potential dips toward 5.7% if core CPI moderates and the central bank signals additional rate cuts at upcoming FOMC meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and June policy decision, which could shift trader expectations for whether rates test lower thresholds before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย