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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,783 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$53,783 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 Vol.

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

70%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

51%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

50%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

46%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Vol.

43%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 Vol.

37%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

29%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

28%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,360 Vol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 Vol.

13%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Vol.

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

3%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$746 Vol.

40%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,783
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,783
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 46+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 89%, sinusundan ng "Édouard Philippe" sa 88%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 89¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay naka-generate ng $53.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," i-browse ang 46+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 89%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Édouard Philippe" sa 88%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.