**Argentina's official exchange rate (wholesale/mayorista) trades near ARS 1,512 per USD in late August 2026, having just cleared the ARS 1,500 psychological level for the first time in weeks as the government appears to have eased prior intervention.** Under the managed-float band regime, the ceiling crawls monthly in line with inflation, currently near ARS 1,880 for September and continuing to rise. Year-over-year inflation hovers around 33%, with monthly prints near 2%, supporting further nominal peso depreciation through year-end. Market surveys, including the BCRA's REM, point to roughly ARS 1,650 by December, while analyst forecasts cluster between 1,600 and 1,800. The 65% market-implied probability on 1,600+ reflects this trajectory of gradual crawl plus residual inflation pass-through, tempered by reserve accumulation, IMF program discipline, and seasonal export flows. Key near-term catalysts include September agricultural export dynamics and any further band adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update1600.00+ 66%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
1450.00–1499.99 12.8%
1500.00–1549.99 12.3%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 30, 2026
<1250.00
6%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
11%
1450.00–1499.99
13%
1500.00–1549.99
12%
1550.00–1599.99
9%
1600.00+
66%
1600.00+ 66%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
1450.00–1499.99 12.8%
1500.00–1549.99 12.3%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 30, 2026
<1250.00
$536 Vol.
6%
1250.00–1299.99
$819 Vol.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$682 Vol.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$743 Vol.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,245 Vol.
11%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,287 Vol.
13%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,294 Vol.
12%
1550.00–1599.99
$694 Vol.
9%
1600.00+
$1,902 Vol.
66%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina's official exchange rate (wholesale/mayorista) trades near ARS 1,512 per USD in late August 2026, having just cleared the ARS 1,500 psychological level for the first time in weeks as the government appears to have eased prior intervention.**
Under the managed-float band regime, the ceiling crawls monthly in line with inflation, currently near ARS 1,880 for September and continuing to rise. Year-over-year inflation hovers around 33%, with monthly prints near 2%, supporting further nominal peso depreciation through year-end. Market surveys, including the BCRA's REM, point to roughly ARS 1,650 by December, while analyst forecasts cluster between 1,600 and 1,800.
The 65% market-implied probability on 1,600+ reflects this trajectory of gradual crawl plus residual inflation pass-through, tempered by reserve accumulation, IMF program discipline, and seasonal export flows. Key near-term catalysts include September agricultural export dynamics and any further band adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$9,201Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina's official exchange rate (wholesale/mayorista) trades near ARS 1,512 per USD in late August 2026, having just cleared the ARS 1,500 psychological level for the first time in weeks as the government appears to have eased prior intervention.**
Under the managed-float band regime, the ceiling crawls monthly in line with inflation, currently near ARS 1,880 for September and continuing to rise. Year-over-year inflation hovers around 33%, with monthly prints near 2%, supporting further nominal peso depreciation through year-end. Market surveys, including the BCRA's REM, point to roughly ARS 1,650 by December, while analyst forecasts cluster between 1,600 and 1,800.
The 65% market-implied probability on 1,600+ reflects this trajectory of gradual crawl plus residual inflation pass-through, tempered by reserve accumulation, IMF program discipline, and seasonal export flows. Key near-term catalysts include September agricultural export dynamics and any further band adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$9,201Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Argentina's official exchange rate (wholesale/mayorista) trades near ARS 1,512 per USD in late August 2026, having just cleared the ARS 1,500 psychological level for the first time in weeks as the government appears to have eased prior intervention.** Under the managed-float band regime, the ceiling crawls monthly in line with inflation, currently near ARS 1,880 for September and continuing to rise. Year-over-year inflation hovers around 33%, with monthly prints near 2%, supporting further nominal peso depreciation through year-end. Market surveys, including the BCRA's REM, point to roughly ARS 1,650 by December, while analyst forecasts cluster between 1,600 and 1,800. The 65% market-implied probability on 1,600+ reflects this trajectory of gradual crawl plus residual inflation pass-through, tempered by reserve accumulation, IMF program discipline, and seasonal export flows. Key near-term catalysts include September agricultural export dynamics and any further band adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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