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icon for Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

icon for Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

29% tsansa
Polymarket

$72,200 Vol.

29% tsansa
Polymarket

$72,200 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan legislation such as the FULL HOUSE Act, attached to the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act, advanced to a House Ways and Means Committee markup in mid-September 2026, aiming to restore full deductibility of gambling losses against winnings effective for 2026 tax years. The 90% cap originated in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, projected to raise $1.1 billion over a decade. Multiple prior repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, stalled in committee or through procedural blocks amid competing legislative priorities and revenue concerns. With limited floor time remaining in the 119th Congress before December 31, 2026, trader consensus assigns a 57% probability that the cap remains in place through 2026, reflecting the narrow window and historical pattern of delays on targeted tax fixes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,200
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan legislation such as the FULL HOUSE Act, attached to the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act, advanced to a House Ways and Means Committee markup in mid-September 2026, aiming to restore full deductibility of gambling losses against winnings effective for 2026 tax years. The 90% cap originated in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, projected to raise $1.1 billion over a decade. Multiple prior repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, stalled in committee or through procedural blocks amid competing legislative priorities and revenue concerns. With limited floor time remaining in the 119th Congress before December 31, 2026, trader consensus assigns a 57% probability that the cap remains in place through 2026, reflecting the narrow window and historical pattern of delays on targeted tax fixes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,200
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 44% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 44¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 44% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $72.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?" ay 44% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 44% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.