President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior individual rate cuts permanent and expanded targeted capital gains relief such as Opportunity Zones and qualified small-business stock exclusions, yet left the top long-term rate unchanged at 20 percent plus net investment income tax. Discussions in August 2026 about indexing gains to inflation or raising the primary-home exclusion gained White House attention as a midterm pitch, but Republican leaders and aides have signaled insufficient legislative days remain before November to advance any broad cut. With fiscal pressures and competing priorities dominating the agenda, traders assign an 86 percent probability that no rate reduction occurs before 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update14% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
14% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior individual rate cuts permanent and expanded targeted capital gains relief such as Opportunity Zones and qualified small-business stock exclusions, yet left the top long-term rate unchanged at 20 percent plus net investment income tax. Discussions in August 2026 about indexing gains to inflation or raising the primary-home exclusion gained White House attention as a midterm pitch, but Republican leaders and aides have signaled insufficient legislative days remain before November to advance any broad cut. With fiscal pressures and competing priorities dominating the agenda, traders assign an 86 percent probability that no rate reduction occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,245Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior individual rate cuts permanent and expanded targeted capital gains relief such as Opportunity Zones and qualified small-business stock exclusions, yet left the top long-term rate unchanged at 20 percent plus net investment income tax. Discussions in August 2026 about indexing gains to inflation or raising the primary-home exclusion gained White House attention as a midterm pitch, but Republican leaders and aides have signaled insufficient legislative days remain before November to advance any broad cut. With fiscal pressures and competing priorities dominating the agenda, traders assign an 86 percent probability that no rate reduction occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,245Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior individual rate cuts permanent and expanded targeted capital gains relief such as Opportunity Zones and qualified small-business stock exclusions, yet left the top long-term rate unchanged at 20 percent plus net investment income tax. Discussions in August 2026 about indexing gains to inflation or raising the primary-home exclusion gained White House attention as a midterm pitch, but Republican leaders and aides have signaled insufficient legislative days remain before November to advance any broad cut. With fiscal pressures and competing priorities dominating the agenda, traders assign an 86 percent probability that no rate reduction occurs before 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong