Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$4,051 Vol.
COVID / Pandemic
32%
Biden
80%
Obama
34%
Inflation
38%
My Father / Fred
26%
Chip / Ship
76%
Jensen
41%
Child
61%
Moon
15%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
94%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
33%
Taiwan
62%
JD / Vance
23%
Dumbocrat
25%
Nuclear
90%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
37%
See what happens
83%
Strait / Hormuz
88%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
72%
Iran
94%
Ballroom
17%
Friend
46%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
$4,051 Vol.
COVID / Pandemic
32%
Biden
80%
Obama
34%
Inflation
38%
My Father / Fred
26%
Chip / Ship
76%
Jensen
41%
Child
61%
Moon
15%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
94%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
33%
Taiwan
62%
JD / Vance
23%
Dumbocrat
25%
Nuclear
90%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
37%
See what happens
83%
Strait / Hormuz
88%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
72%
Iran
94%
Ballroom
17%
Friend
46%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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