The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBinface 20–30% 100.0%
Binface <10% <1%
Binface 10–20% <1%
Binface 30–40% <1%
$543,133 Vol.
$543,133 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Binface <10%
No
Binface 10–20%
No
Binface 20–30%
Yes
Binface 30–40%
No
Binface 40%+
No
Binface 20–30% 100.0%
Binface <10% <1%
Binface 10–20% <1%
Binface 30–40% <1%
$543,133 Vol.
$543,133 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Binface <10%
$185,308 Vol.
No
Binface 10–20%
$90,313 Vol.
No
Binface 20–30%
$126,443 Vol.
Yes
Binface 30–40%
$89,298 Vol.
No
Binface 40%+
$51,772 Vol.
No
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$543,133Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$543,133Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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