Switzerland leads the Group B market at 54 percent implied probability due to its flawless UEFA qualifying campaign and extended unbeaten run, which includes consecutive knockout-stage appearances in major tournaments and just two goals conceded across six matches. Canada sits at 26 percent as the co-host nation, though recent March friendlies exposed defensive vulnerabilities and key absences, including Alphonso Davies recovering from an ACL tear. Bosnia and Herzegovina hold 19.5 percent after advancing through playoffs with a penalty-shootout win over Italy, signaling emerging talent despite limited recent World Cup experience. Qatar trails at 2.1 percent amid poor preparation disrupted by regional conflicts and a historically weak record against stronger European sides. These probabilities reflect trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and head-to-head edges entering the June 2026 group stage.