Republican incumbent María Elvira Salazar defeated Democrat Eliott Rodriguez in Florida’s 27th congressional district on November 3 by a final unofficial margin of roughly 0.5 percentage points, or about 1,116 votes out of more than 247,000 cast. This outcome aligns with the market’s dominant Republican 0-3% probability because late-reporting precincts in Miami-Dade County produced a far narrower result than Salazar’s prior 20-point victory under previous district lines. Pre-election polling showed the candidates essentially tied, with shifts among Latino voters on immigration and cost-of-living issues tightening the race into a toss-up. The margin sits just above Florida’s automatic-recount threshold, leaving limited room for remaining provisional or cure ballots to alter the result. Trader consensus on the slim Republican edge reflects these confirmed vote totals and the absence of larger swings in final canvassing.