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Halalan·Halalan Sa France

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Halalan·Halalan Sa France

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,875 Vol.

Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$21,875 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Vol.

73%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Vol.

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Vol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Vol.

11%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Vol.

15%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Vol.

13%

Jean Castex

$64 Vol.

29%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Vol.

35%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Vol.

34%

François Bayrou

$486 Vol.

11%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Vol.

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Vol.

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Vol.

50%

François Hollande

$132 Vol.

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Vol.

67%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Vol.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Vol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Vol.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$25 Vol.

72%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Vol.

22%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,875
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 23, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,875
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 23, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Gabriel Attal" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 99%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $21.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay "Gabriel Attal" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 99%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.