**Sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Netherlands are positioning 32–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Amsterdam on August 13.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. These conditions favor the current market-implied probabilities, where 33°C leads at 52.5% and nearby bins (32°C at 25.5%, 34°C at 22.5%) capture residual model or observational uncertainty around the precise peak. Warmer continental air advection and subsidence warming under the ridge support values near the upper end of typical mid-August norms, while the low odds on 35°C+ reflect limited additional intensification potential before any evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 54%
34°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 2.8%
BAGO
$39,840 Vol.
BAGO
$39,840 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
22%
33°C
54%
34°C
23%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
34°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 2.8%
BAGO
$39,840 Vol.
BAGO
$39,840 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,613 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,342 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,725 Vol.
22%
33°C
$10,989 Vol.
54%
34°C
$11,641 Vol.
23%
35°C
$2,922 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,499 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$865 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Netherlands are positioning 32–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Amsterdam on August 13.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. These conditions favor the current market-implied probabilities, where 33°C leads at 52.5% and nearby bins (32°C at 25.5%, 34°C at 22.5%) capture residual model or observational uncertainty around the precise peak. Warmer continental air advection and subsidence warming under the ridge support values near the upper end of typical mid-August norms, while the low odds on 35°C+ reflect limited additional intensification potential before any evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$39,840Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Netherlands are positioning 32–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Amsterdam on August 13.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. These conditions favor the current market-implied probabilities, where 33°C leads at 52.5% and nearby bins (32°C at 25.5%, 34°C at 22.5%) capture residual model or observational uncertainty around the precise peak. Warmer continental air advection and subsidence warming under the ridge support values near the upper end of typical mid-August norms, while the low odds on 35°C+ reflect limited additional intensification potential before any evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,840Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Netherlands are positioning 32–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Amsterdam on August 13.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. These conditions favor the current market-implied probabilities, where 33°C leads at 52.5% and nearby bins (32°C at 25.5%, 34°C at 22.5%) capture residual model or observational uncertainty around the precise peak. Warmer continental air advection and subsidence warming under the ridge support values near the upper end of typical mid-August norms, while the low odds on 35°C+ reflect limited additional intensification potential before any evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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