Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show high uncertainty for Tokyo's August 13 maximum, centering near 28–29°C with cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze timing as the dominant variables that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Mid-August climatology and an above-normal seasonal outlook favor readings in this narrow band, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would cap highs closer to 27°C. Urban heat-island effects and 70–80% humidity levels provide a consistent baseline, yet any change in afternoon insolation or Pacific high positioning could push outcomes toward 30°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
28°C 33%
29°C 23%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
33%
29°C
23%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
29°C 23%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$632 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$127 Vol.
1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,299 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,507 Vol.
33%
29°C
$459 Vol.
23%
30°C
$313 Vol.
9%
31°C
$476 Vol.
4%
32°C
$381 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,480 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show high uncertainty for Tokyo's August 13 maximum, centering near 28–29°C with cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze timing as the dominant variables that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Mid-August climatology and an above-normal seasonal outlook favor readings in this narrow band, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would cap highs closer to 27°C. Urban heat-island effects and 70–80% humidity levels provide a consistent baseline, yet any change in afternoon insolation or Pacific high positioning could push outcomes toward 30°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,097Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show high uncertainty for Tokyo's August 13 maximum, centering near 28–29°C with cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze timing as the dominant variables that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Mid-August climatology and an above-normal seasonal outlook favor readings in this narrow band, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would cap highs closer to 27°C. Urban heat-island effects and 70–80% humidity levels provide a consistent baseline, yet any change in afternoon insolation or Pacific high positioning could push outcomes toward 30°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,097Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show high uncertainty for Tokyo's August 13 maximum, centering near 28–29°C with cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze timing as the dominant variables that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Mid-August climatology and an above-normal seasonal outlook favor readings in this narrow band, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would cap highs closer to 27°C. Urban heat-island effects and 70–80% humidity levels provide a consistent baseline, yet any change in afternoon insolation or Pacific high positioning could push outcomes toward 30°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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