Global forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, along with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, converge on a Moscow maximum of 15–17 °C for August 13, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 16 °C (37.5 %), 15 °C (23.0 %), and 17 °C (23.0 %). Moderate westerly flow under surface high pressure, combined with partial cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, suppresses stronger warm advection and keeps the daily high near seasonal norms for mid-August. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in frontal timing or convective development, which could alter the peak by 1–2 °C, while upcoming model cycles and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 38%
15°C 24%
17°C 24%
14°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
38%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 38%
15°C 24%
17°C 24%
14°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$368 Vol.
4%
14°C
$924 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,271 Vol.
24%
16°C
$439 Vol.
38%
17°C
$876 Vol.
24%
18°C
$968 Vol.
5%
19°C
$279 Vol.
2%
20°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$758 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Global forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, along with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, converge on a Moscow maximum of 15–17 °C for August 13, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 16 °C (37.5 %), 15 °C (23.0 %), and 17 °C (23.0 %). Moderate westerly flow under surface high pressure, combined with partial cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, suppresses stronger warm advection and keeps the daily high near seasonal norms for mid-August. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in frontal timing or convective development, which could alter the peak by 1–2 °C, while upcoming model cycles and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,797Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Global forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, along with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, converge on a Moscow maximum of 15–17 °C for August 13, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 16 °C (37.5 %), 15 °C (23.0 %), and 17 °C (23.0 %). Moderate westerly flow under surface high pressure, combined with partial cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, suppresses stronger warm advection and keeps the daily high near seasonal norms for mid-August. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in frontal timing or convective development, which could alter the peak by 1–2 °C, while upcoming model cycles and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,797Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, along with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, converge on a Moscow maximum of 15–17 °C for August 13, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability around 16 °C (37.5 %), 15 °C (23.0 %), and 17 °C (23.0 %). Moderate westerly flow under surface high pressure, combined with partial cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, suppresses stronger warm advection and keeps the daily high near seasonal norms for mid-August. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in frontal timing or convective development, which could alter the peak by 1–2 °C, while upcoming model cycles and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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