Latest forecast models from agencies including AEMET and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 14 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by stable high pressure and residual warm advection typical of peak summer. This consensus, with minimal model spread in recent runs, positions 39°C as the leading market outcome at 51.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 32.5%. Historical August baselines average near 33°C, but 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept readings elevated; traders weigh the two-day horizon’s low uncertainty against potential afternoon convective adjustments or slight cooling shifts. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 14?
39°C 57%
38°C 33%
40°C 7%
37°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
33%
39°C
57%
40°C
7%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 57%
38°C 33%
40°C 7%
37°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$171 Vol.
2%
37°C
$743 Vol.
5%
38°C
$1,528 Vol.
33%
39°C
$2,807 Vol.
57%
40°C
$766 Vol.
7%
41°C
$233 Vol.
2%
42°C
$150 Vol.
1%
43°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$92 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including AEMET and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 14 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by stable high pressure and residual warm advection typical of peak summer. This consensus, with minimal model spread in recent runs, positions 39°C as the leading market outcome at 51.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 32.5%. Historical August baselines average near 33°C, but 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept readings elevated; traders weigh the two-day horizon’s low uncertainty against potential afternoon convective adjustments or slight cooling shifts. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,769Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including AEMET and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 14 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by stable high pressure and residual warm advection typical of peak summer. This consensus, with minimal model spread in recent runs, positions 39°C as the leading market outcome at 51.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 32.5%. Historical August baselines average near 33°C, but 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept readings elevated; traders weigh the two-day horizon’s low uncertainty against potential afternoon convective adjustments or slight cooling shifts. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,769Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including AEMET and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 14 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by stable high pressure and residual warm advection typical of peak summer. This consensus, with minimal model spread in recent runs, positions 39°C as the leading market outcome at 51.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 32.5%. Historical August baselines average near 33°C, but 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept readings elevated; traders weigh the two-day horizon’s low uncertainty against potential afternoon convective adjustments or slight cooling shifts. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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