Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's peak temperature on August 14 around 26–27 °C under scattered clouds and light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow are limiting stronger warming, while overnight radiative cooling keeps lows in the low teens Celsius and caps daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads remain narrow through the short-range window, with only modest upside risk to 28 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as any shift in the 48-hour model runs could quickly rebalance probabilities between the two leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
25°C 7%
28°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
25°C 7%
28°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$573 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$208 Vol.
2%
24°C
$44 Vol.
6%
25°C
$102 Vol.
7%
26°C
$6 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$7 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's peak temperature on August 14 around 26–27 °C under scattered clouds and light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow are limiting stronger warming, while overnight radiative cooling keeps lows in the low teens Celsius and caps daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads remain narrow through the short-range window, with only modest upside risk to 28 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as any shift in the 48-hour model runs could quickly rebalance probabilities between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,629Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's peak temperature on August 14 around 26–27 °C under scattered clouds and light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow are limiting stronger warming, while overnight radiative cooling keeps lows in the low teens Celsius and caps daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads remain narrow through the short-range window, with only modest upside risk to 28 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as any shift in the 48-hour model runs could quickly rebalance probabilities between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,629Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's peak temperature on August 14 around 26–27 °C under scattered clouds and light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow are limiting stronger warming, while overnight radiative cooling keeps lows in the low teens Celsius and caps daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads remain narrow through the short-range window, with only modest upside risk to 28 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as any shift in the 48-hour model runs could quickly rebalance probabilities between the two leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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