**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14 centers on 26–27°C, reflecting official forecast guidance and typical subtropical summer conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s latest outlook projects a minimum near 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under cloudy skies with showers and 75–95% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather and other models showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F). Persistent warm, humid air masses limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high moisture content and urban heat effects sustain elevated minima. August climatology supports this positioning, with mean minima historically near 27°C and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. No major tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences are expected to alter the pattern before the 14th. Model consensus remains stable, with limited downside risk to 25°C or below given the absence of clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. The market-implied odds closely track this forecast consensus, updated with the most recent observational trends and short-range model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
27°C 49%
26°C 39%
28°C 18%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 39%
28°C 18%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$472 Vol.
1%
25°C
$615 Vol.
8%
26°C
$1,329 Vol.
32%
27°C
$2,010 Vol.
49%
28°C
$954 Vol.
18%
29°C
$891 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,344 Vol.
4%
31°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14 centers on 26–27°C, reflecting official forecast guidance and typical subtropical summer conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s latest outlook projects a minimum near 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under cloudy skies with showers and 75–95% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather and other models showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F).
Persistent warm, humid air masses limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high moisture content and urban heat effects sustain elevated minima. August climatology supports this positioning, with mean minima historically near 27°C and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. No major tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences are expected to alter the pattern before the 14th.
Model consensus remains stable, with limited downside risk to 25°C or below given the absence of clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. The market-implied odds closely track this forecast consensus, updated with the most recent observational trends and short-range model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,607Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14 centers on 26–27°C, reflecting official forecast guidance and typical subtropical summer conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s latest outlook projects a minimum near 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under cloudy skies with showers and 75–95% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather and other models showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F).
Persistent warm, humid air masses limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high moisture content and urban heat effects sustain elevated minima. August climatology supports this positioning, with mean minima historically near 27°C and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. No major tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences are expected to alter the pattern before the 14th.
Model consensus remains stable, with limited downside risk to 25°C or below given the absence of clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. The market-implied odds closely track this forecast consensus, updated with the most recent observational trends and short-range model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,607Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14 centers on 26–27°C, reflecting official forecast guidance and typical subtropical summer conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s latest outlook projects a minimum near 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under cloudy skies with showers and 75–95% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather and other models showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F). Persistent warm, humid air masses limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while high moisture content and urban heat effects sustain elevated minima. August climatology supports this positioning, with mean minima historically near 27°C and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. No major tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences are expected to alter the pattern before the 14th. Model consensus remains stable, with limited downside risk to 25°C or below given the absence of clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. The market-implied odds closely track this forecast consensus, updated with the most recent observational trends and short-range model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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