Recent forecasts from models and the South African Weather Service indicate mild winter conditions over the Western Cape, with Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 15 likely settling near 19–20°C amid limited cold front activity and moderate solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters here because historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, but current high-pressure dominance and lighter winds could allow slight warming above baseline. Key differentiators between 18°C and 21°C outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting daytime heating, potential sea breeze moderation along the coast, and any late steering of Atlantic systems that might introduce cooler air or increased humidity. Updated ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in atmospheric stability often determine the precise daily peak on the Celsius scale.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 15?
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the South African Weather Service indicate mild winter conditions over the Western Cape, with Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 15 likely settling near 19–20°C amid limited cold front activity and moderate solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters here because historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, but current high-pressure dominance and lighter winds could allow slight warming above baseline. Key differentiators between 18°C and 21°C outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting daytime heating, potential sea breeze moderation along the coast, and any late steering of Atlantic systems that might introduce cooler air or increased humidity. Updated ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in atmospheric stability often determine the precise daily peak on the Celsius scale.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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