Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's maximum temperature on August 15 in the 30–31°C range, with some guidance extending to 29–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This narrow spread, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C, stems from typical late-summer uncertainty in the East Asian monsoon regime over the Yangtze River valley, where convective activity and steering flow can shift daily maxima by a degree or two. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, but current model consensus emphasizes moderation from increased humidity and precipitation chances. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution as local observations refine boundary-layer conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24 Vol.
1%
28°C
$370 Vol.
6%
29°C
$195 Vol.
11%
30°C
$332 Vol.
25%
31°C
$652 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,856 Vol.
22%
33°C
$171 Vol.
4%
34°C
$95 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's maximum temperature on August 15 in the 30–31°C range, with some guidance extending to 29–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This narrow spread, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C, stems from typical late-summer uncertainty in the East Asian monsoon regime over the Yangtze River valley, where convective activity and steering flow can shift daily maxima by a degree or two. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, but current model consensus emphasizes moderation from increased humidity and precipitation chances. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution as local observations refine boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's maximum temperature on August 15 in the 30–31°C range, with some guidance extending to 29–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This narrow spread, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C, stems from typical late-summer uncertainty in the East Asian monsoon regime over the Yangtze River valley, where convective activity and steering flow can shift daily maxima by a degree or two. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, but current model consensus emphasizes moderation from increased humidity and precipitation chances. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution as local observations refine boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's maximum temperature on August 15 in the 30–31°C range, with some guidance extending to 29–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This narrow spread, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C, stems from typical late-summer uncertainty in the East Asian monsoon regime over the Yangtze River valley, where convective activity and steering flow can shift daily maxima by a degree or two. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, but current model consensus emphasizes moderation from increased humidity and precipitation chances. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution as local observations refine boundary-layer conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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