Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional systems indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features declining highs near 30°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertainties in steering flow, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects, while ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$276 Vol.
1%
28°C
$35 Vol.
3%
29°C
$624 Vol.
5%
30°C
$327 Vol.
11%
31°C
$172 Vol.
30%
32°C
$374 Vol.
38%
33°C
$354 Vol.
19%
34°C
$304 Vol.
4%
35°C
$56 Vol.
1%
36°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$51 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional systems indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features declining highs near 30°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertainties in steering flow, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects, while ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,583Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional systems indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features declining highs near 30°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertainties in steering flow, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects, while ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,583Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional systems indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features declining highs near 30°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertainties in steering flow, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects, while ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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