Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies highlight a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring clear skies and warm southerly flow that supports daytime maxima of 37–38°C in Paris on August 13. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours converge on this range, with the urban heat-island effect and minimal cloud cover adding 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology shows mid-August Paris highs averaging near 25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 38°C aligns with this guidance, though small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or timing of any frontal passage could still alter the exact peak before resolution. Further ECMWF and Météo-France updates expected within 24 hours may refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 13?
38°C 50%
37°C 31%
39°C 12%
36°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
31%
38°C
50%
39°C
12%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 50%
37°C 31%
39°C 12%
36°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$369 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$486 Vol.
1%
35°C
$85 Vol.
2%
36°C
$365 Vol.
8%
37°C
$233 Vol.
31%
38°C
$904 Vol.
50%
39°C
$67 Vol.
12%
40°C
$41 Vol.
3%
41°C
$125 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies highlight a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring clear skies and warm southerly flow that supports daytime maxima of 37–38°C in Paris on August 13. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours converge on this range, with the urban heat-island effect and minimal cloud cover adding 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology shows mid-August Paris highs averaging near 25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 38°C aligns with this guidance, though small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or timing of any frontal passage could still alter the exact peak before resolution. Further ECMWF and Météo-France updates expected within 24 hours may refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,035Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies highlight a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring clear skies and warm southerly flow that supports daytime maxima of 37–38°C in Paris on August 13. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours converge on this range, with the urban heat-island effect and minimal cloud cover adding 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology shows mid-August Paris highs averaging near 25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 38°C aligns with this guidance, though small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or timing of any frontal passage could still alter the exact peak before resolution. Further ECMWF and Météo-France updates expected within 24 hours may refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,035Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies highlight a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring clear skies and warm southerly flow that supports daytime maxima of 37–38°C in Paris on August 13. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours converge on this range, with the urban heat-island effect and minimal cloud cover adding 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Historical climatology shows mid-August Paris highs averaging near 25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 38°C aligns with this guidance, though small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or timing of any frontal passage could still alter the exact peak before resolution. Further ECMWF and Météo-France updates expected within 24 hours may refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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