**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13 centers on 27–28°C, which together command over 94% of the market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from recent numerical weather prediction models and observational trends showing stable late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate in mid-August typically produces daily maxima near the seasonal average of 27–29°C, influenced by the moderating effects of the Bosphorus and prevailing northerly winds. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate sunny skies with highs around 30–31°C (87–88°F) under moderate north-easterly flow, while other guidance (including Met Office) points closer to 27°C. The absence of strong high-pressure blocking or Saharan air intrusions has kept extreme heat out of the outlook, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the lower end of the normal range. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and any adjustments from regional meteorological services for signs of intensification or cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger winds. The tight clustering around 27–28°C captures the realistic uncertainty band in short-range temperature forecasts for the region.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
27°C 55%
28°C 40%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
55%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 40%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$435 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$245 Vol.
1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
2%
26°C
$390 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,392 Vol.
55%
28°C
$1,400 Vol.
40%
29°C
$298 Vol.
5%
30°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$793 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13 centers on 27–28°C, which together command over 94% of the market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from recent numerical weather prediction models and observational trends showing stable late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat.
Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate in mid-August typically produces daily maxima near the seasonal average of 27–29°C, influenced by the moderating effects of the Bosphorus and prevailing northerly winds. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate sunny skies with highs around 30–31°C (87–88°F) under moderate north-easterly flow, while other guidance (including Met Office) points closer to 27°C. The absence of strong high-pressure blocking or Saharan air intrusions has kept extreme heat out of the outlook, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the lower end of the normal range.
With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and any adjustments from regional meteorological services for signs of intensification or cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger winds. The tight clustering around 27–28°C captures the realistic uncertainty band in short-range temperature forecasts for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,101Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13 centers on 27–28°C, which together command over 94% of the market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from recent numerical weather prediction models and observational trends showing stable late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat.
Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate in mid-August typically produces daily maxima near the seasonal average of 27–29°C, influenced by the moderating effects of the Bosphorus and prevailing northerly winds. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate sunny skies with highs around 30–31°C (87–88°F) under moderate north-easterly flow, while other guidance (including Met Office) points closer to 27°C. The absence of strong high-pressure blocking or Saharan air intrusions has kept extreme heat out of the outlook, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the lower end of the normal range.
With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and any adjustments from regional meteorological services for signs of intensification or cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger winds. The tight clustering around 27–28°C captures the realistic uncertainty band in short-range temperature forecasts for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,101Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13 centers on 27–28°C, which together command over 94% of the market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from recent numerical weather prediction models and observational trends showing stable late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat. Istanbul’s Mediterranean climate in mid-August typically produces daily maxima near the seasonal average of 27–29°C, influenced by the moderating effects of the Bosphorus and prevailing northerly winds. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate sunny skies with highs around 30–31°C (87–88°F) under moderate north-easterly flow, while other guidance (including Met Office) points closer to 27°C. The absence of strong high-pressure blocking or Saharan air intrusions has kept extreme heat out of the outlook, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the lower end of the normal range. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and any adjustments from regional meteorological services for signs of intensification or cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger winds. The tight clustering around 27–28°C captures the realistic uncertainty band in short-range temperature forecasts for the region.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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