Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 11?
28°C 52%
27°C 27%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
27%
28°C
52%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 52%
27°C 27%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
27%
28°C
52%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with late-summer climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate where high-pressure systems and declining solar angles moderate peak values after mid-month maxima. Sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C provide a cooling influence via sea breezes, while low precipitation probability and stable atmospheric profiles limit convective cooling or warming extremes. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports 28°C as the most probable daily maximum, though microscale urban heat-island effects and minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes toward 27°C or 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with tails below 26°C or above 30°C remaining low absent unexpected synoptic changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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