Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 11?
17°C 38%
18°C 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
18°C 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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