Current JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo on August 11 indicate overnight lows centered near 23°C, driven by a persistent Pacific subtropical high maintaining above-normal warmth and mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C outcome over 22°C, which would require clearer conditions for greater heat loss, or 24°C, which could result from thicker cloud cover or light rain suppressing temperature drops. Historical August minima average 23–24°C at central stations, providing a baseline against which short-range model consensus currently aligns, though evolving shower timing and moisture advection remain key variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$23 Vol.
7%
20°C
$65 Vol.
6%
21°C
$37 Vol.
10%
22°C
$69 Vol.
24%
23°C
$115 Vol.
45%
24°C
$230 Vol.
25%
25°C
$37 Vol.
11%
26°C
$37 Vol.
5%
27°C
$18 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo on August 11 indicate overnight lows centered near 23°C, driven by a persistent Pacific subtropical high maintaining above-normal warmth and mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C outcome over 22°C, which would require clearer conditions for greater heat loss, or 24°C, which could result from thicker cloud cover or light rain suppressing temperature drops. Historical August minima average 23–24°C at central stations, providing a baseline against which short-range model consensus currently aligns, though evolving shower timing and moisture advection remain key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$678Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo on August 11 indicate overnight lows centered near 23°C, driven by a persistent Pacific subtropical high maintaining above-normal warmth and mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C outcome over 22°C, which would require clearer conditions for greater heat loss, or 24°C, which could result from thicker cloud cover or light rain suppressing temperature drops. Historical August minima average 23–24°C at central stations, providing a baseline against which short-range model consensus currently aligns, though evolving shower timing and moisture advection remain key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$678Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo on August 11 indicate overnight lows centered near 23°C, driven by a persistent Pacific subtropical high maintaining above-normal warmth and mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C outcome over 22°C, which would require clearer conditions for greater heat loss, or 24°C, which could result from thicker cloud cover or light rain suppressing temperature drops. Historical August minima average 23–24°C at central stations, providing a baseline against which short-range model consensus currently aligns, though evolving shower timing and moisture advection remain key variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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