Provisional Met Office data confirm summer 2026 as the UK's warmest on record, with a June–August mean temperature of 16.5°C—0.4°C above the 2025 record and 1.9°C above the 1991–2020 average. Multiple heatwaves produced nine days above 35°C and 55 days above 28°C, both new benchmarks, alongside a seasonal peak of 38.2°C. Human-induced climate change increased the likelihood of such warmth by roughly 130 times relative to pre-industrial conditions, consistent with the long-term upward trend in which the five hottest summers have all occurred since 2003. Full verification of station data remains pending, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the ranking given the margin over prior records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
The current UK summer mean temperature record is 16.12°C, set in summer 2025. A UK summer 2026 mean temperature greater than 16.12°C is necessary and sufficient for a "Yes" resolution; a value equal to or below 16.12°C resolves "No".
The primary resolution source will be the figure in the "sum" (summer) column of the row for year "2026" in the Met Office UK mean air temperature series (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt). The market will resolve on the first value the Met Office publishes for summer 2026 in this series and will not be affected by any subsequent revision.
If the Met Office renders this series permanently unavailable, other official Met Office data for the UK summer 2026 mean temperature may be used. If no figure for summer 2026 has been published by the Met Office by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The current UK summer mean temperature record is 16.12°C, set in summer 2025. A UK summer 2026 mean temperature greater than 16.12°C is necessary and sufficient for a "Yes" resolution; a value equal to or below 16.12°C resolves "No".
The primary resolution source will be the figure in the "sum" (summer) column of the row for year "2026" in the Met Office UK mean air temperature series (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt). The market will resolve on the first value the Met Office publishes for summer 2026 in this series and will not be affected by any subsequent revision.
If the Met Office renders this series permanently unavailable, other official Met Office data for the UK summer 2026 mean temperature may be used. If no figure for summer 2026 has been published by the Met Office by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Provisional Met Office data confirm summer 2026 as the UK's warmest on record, with a June–August mean temperature of 16.5°C—0.4°C above the 2025 record and 1.9°C above the 1991–2020 average. Multiple heatwaves produced nine days above 35°C and 55 days above 28°C, both new benchmarks, alongside a seasonal peak of 38.2°C. Human-induced climate change increased the likelihood of such warmth by roughly 130 times relative to pre-industrial conditions, consistent with the long-term upward trend in which the five hottest summers have all occurred since 2003. Full verification of station data remains pending, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the ranking given the margin over prior records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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