Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 22, aligning with the market’s leading 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent warm southerly flow, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and minimal cloud cover through midday support peak temperatures in the upper 90s, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the maximum by a degree or two. Late-September climatology places the average high near 92°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth without strong frontal influence. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from convective timing and coverage, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F under full sun. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 22?
96-97°F 44%
98-99°F 36%
94-95°F 15%
100-101°F 7%
87°F or below
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
44%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 44%
98-99°F 36%
94-95°F 15%
100-101°F 7%
87°F or below
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
44%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 22, aligning with the market’s leading 96–99°F outcomes. Persistent warm southerly flow, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and minimal cloud cover through midday support peak temperatures in the upper 90s, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the maximum by a degree or two. Late-September climatology places the average high near 92°F, so the current pattern reflects above-normal warmth without strong frontal influence. Forecast uncertainty stems mainly from convective timing and coverage, with heat-index values potentially reaching 105°F under full sun. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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