Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate peak temperatures likely between 23–26°C on September 20, driven by springtime warming under variable cloud cover and a northeast flow ahead of an approaching cold front. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlights a chance of thunderstorms and rain, which could suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth tempered by moisture and wind shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24–26°C outcomes because model consensus clusters there, while lower or higher extremes depend on whether clearing allows brief spikes or persistent precipitation caps readings. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
25°C 27%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
$17,803 Vol.
$17,803 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
20%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
6%
25°C 27%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
$17,803 Vol.
$17,803 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
20%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Buenos Aires indicate peak temperatures likely between 23–26°C on September 20, driven by springtime warming under variable cloud cover and a northeast flow ahead of an approaching cold front. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlights a chance of thunderstorms and rain, which could suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth tempered by moisture and wind shifts. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24–26°C outcomes because model consensus clusters there, while lower or higher extremes depend on whether clearing allows brief spikes or persistent precipitation caps readings. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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