Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are the main drivers positioning 23°C and 24°C as the leading market outcomes, with combined implied probability near 80%. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and northerly flow maintaining overcast skies and high humidity, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of about 26°C. Recent model runs show strong agreement on these conditions through the weekend, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the high precipitation probabilities and suppressed insolation as favoring the narrow 23–24°C range over warmer or cooler alternatives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
23°C 59%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
25°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
59%
24°C
25%
25°C
11%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 59%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
25°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$113 Vol.
4%
22°C
$10 Vol.
10%
23°C
$989 Vol.
59%
24°C
$18 Vol.
25%
25°C
$20 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$5 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are the main drivers positioning 23°C and 24°C as the leading market outcomes, with combined implied probability near 80%. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and northerly flow maintaining overcast skies and high humidity, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of about 26°C. Recent model runs show strong agreement on these conditions through the weekend, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the high precipitation probabilities and suppressed insolation as favoring the narrow 23–24°C range over warmer or cooler alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are the main drivers positioning 23°C and 24°C as the leading market outcomes, with combined implied probability near 80%. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and northerly flow maintaining overcast skies and high humidity, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of about 26°C. Recent model runs show strong agreement on these conditions through the weekend, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the high precipitation probabilities and suppressed insolation as favoring the narrow 23–24°C range over warmer or cooler alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are the main drivers positioning 23°C and 24°C as the leading market outcomes, with combined implied probability near 80%. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and northerly flow maintaining overcast skies and high humidity, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of about 26°C. Recent model runs show strong agreement on these conditions through the weekend, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the high precipitation probabilities and suppressed insolation as favoring the narrow 23–24°C range over warmer or cooler alternatives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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