Persistent rain and southeasterly flow from a coastal low are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across the New York metro area on September 20, with official National Weather Service and model guidance converging on a minimum of 64–66 °F at Central Park. Cloud cover and high humidity limit radiational cooling, while the 10–15 mph southerly breeze further moderates the low. This places the most likely range squarely in the 64–67 °F bins that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Historical climatology shows an average low near 60 °F, but the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution several degrees warmer, explaining why sub-62 °F outcomes remain at low single-digit implied odds. Updated evening model runs and the final 24-hour minimum observation will determine exact resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on September 20?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 20?
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 23%
62-63°F 22%
60-61°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 23%
62-63°F 22%
60-61°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
55°F or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$31 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$268 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$114 Vol.
10%
62-63°F
$1,799 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$1,144 Vol.
38%
66-67°F
$2,329 Vol.
23%
68-69°F
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$11 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$31 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and southeasterly flow from a coastal low are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across the New York metro area on September 20, with official National Weather Service and model guidance converging on a minimum of 64–66 °F at Central Park. Cloud cover and high humidity limit radiational cooling, while the 10–15 mph southerly breeze further moderates the low. This places the most likely range squarely in the 64–67 °F bins that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Historical climatology shows an average low near 60 °F, but the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution several degrees warmer, explaining why sub-62 °F outcomes remain at low single-digit implied odds. Updated evening model runs and the final 24-hour minimum observation will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,310Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and southeasterly flow from a coastal low are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across the New York metro area on September 20, with official National Weather Service and model guidance converging on a minimum of 64–66 °F at Central Park. Cloud cover and high humidity limit radiational cooling, while the 10–15 mph southerly breeze further moderates the low. This places the most likely range squarely in the 64–67 °F bins that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Historical climatology shows an average low near 60 °F, but the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution several degrees warmer, explaining why sub-62 °F outcomes remain at low single-digit implied odds. Updated evening model runs and the final 24-hour minimum observation will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,310Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and southeasterly flow from a coastal low are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across the New York metro area on September 20, with official National Weather Service and model guidance converging on a minimum of 64–66 °F at Central Park. Cloud cover and high humidity limit radiational cooling, while the 10–15 mph southerly breeze further moderates the low. This places the most likely range squarely in the 64–67 °F bins that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Historical climatology shows an average low near 60 °F, but the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution several degrees warmer, explaining why sub-62 °F outcomes remain at low single-digit implied odds. Updated evening model runs and the final 24-hour minimum observation will determine exact resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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