The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 20 reflects confirmed observations from official stations, including Wellington International Airport, where the daily maximum reached exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 15–20 mph, and typical spring conditions. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs near 14–16°C, aligning with current model consensus and real-time readings that peaked midday before cooling toward evening lows near 9°C. Late-day surges or localized microclimate variations remain the only realistic variables that could alter the final recorded value, though monitoring agency data through sunset indicate minimal risk of deviation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,034 Vol.
$96,034 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,034 Vol.
$96,034 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
$214 Vol.
No
10°C
$952 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,170 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,902 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,016 Vol.
No
14°C
$25,813 Vol.
No
15°C
$23,600 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$25,461 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,469 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,357 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,081 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 20 reflects confirmed observations from official stations, including Wellington International Airport, where the daily maximum reached exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 15–20 mph, and typical spring conditions. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs near 14–16°C, aligning with current model consensus and real-time readings that peaked midday before cooling toward evening lows near 9°C. Late-day surges or localized microclimate variations remain the only realistic variables that could alter the final recorded value, though monitoring agency data through sunset indicate minimal risk of deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$96,034Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 20 reflects confirmed observations from official stations, including Wellington International Airport, where the daily maximum reached exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 15–20 mph, and typical spring conditions. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs near 14–16°C, aligning with current model consensus and real-time readings that peaked midday before cooling toward evening lows near 9°C. Late-day surges or localized microclimate variations remain the only realistic variables that could alter the final recorded value, though monitoring agency data through sunset indicate minimal risk of deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96,034Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 20 reflects confirmed observations from official stations, including Wellington International Airport, where the daily maximum reached exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 15–20 mph, and typical spring conditions. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs near 14–16°C, aligning with current model consensus and real-time readings that peaked midday before cooling toward evening lows near 9°C. Late-day surges or localized microclimate variations remain the only realistic variables that could alter the final recorded value, though monitoring agency data through sunset indicate minimal risk of deviation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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