Trader consensus around 86–89°F for Miami’s September 20 high reflects official National Weather Service guidance of upper-80s readings amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Light variable winds, deep tropical moisture, and an upper-level low over the eastern Gulf are promoting widespread convection that typically caps daytime maxima before they reach 90°F. Model guidance shows modest spread in storm timing and coverage, creating the narrow 40–38% split between the 88–89°F and 86–87°F bins while keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Historical September climatology supports this range, with frequent sea-breeze-driven storms preventing sustained heat. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on September 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 20?
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 38%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 6%
BAGO
$13,367 Vol.
BAGO
$13,367 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 38%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 6%
BAGO
$13,367 Vol.
BAGO
$13,367 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
$903 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$665 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$701 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$555 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$760 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$1,720 Vol.
38%
88-89°F
$1,926 Vol.
39%
90-91°F
$3,143 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$2,438 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$272 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 86–89°F for Miami’s September 20 high reflects official National Weather Service guidance of upper-80s readings amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Light variable winds, deep tropical moisture, and an upper-level low over the eastern Gulf are promoting widespread convection that typically caps daytime maxima before they reach 90°F. Model guidance shows modest spread in storm timing and coverage, creating the narrow 40–38% split between the 88–89°F and 86–87°F bins while keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Historical September climatology supports this range, with frequent sea-breeze-driven storms preventing sustained heat. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,367Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 86–89°F for Miami’s September 20 high reflects official National Weather Service guidance of upper-80s readings amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Light variable winds, deep tropical moisture, and an upper-level low over the eastern Gulf are promoting widespread convection that typically caps daytime maxima before they reach 90°F. Model guidance shows modest spread in storm timing and coverage, creating the narrow 40–38% split between the 88–89°F and 86–87°F bins while keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Historical September climatology supports this range, with frequent sea-breeze-driven storms preventing sustained heat. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,367Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 86–89°F for Miami’s September 20 high reflects official National Weather Service guidance of upper-80s readings amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Light variable winds, deep tropical moisture, and an upper-level low over the eastern Gulf are promoting widespread convection that typically caps daytime maxima before they reach 90°F. Model guidance shows modest spread in storm timing and coverage, creating the narrow 40–38% split between the 88–89°F and 86–87°F bins while keeping higher or lower outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Historical September climatology supports this range, with frequent sea-breeze-driven storms preventing sustained heat. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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